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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Edmen Shahbazyan won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1513
Edmen Shahbazyan
Elo1442
Dalcha Lungiambula

Edmen ShahbazyanvsDalcha LungiambulaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · Saturday, December 10, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Edmen Shahbazyan won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:41

Style matchupEdmen Shahbazyan: Well-roundedvsDalcha Lungiambula: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Edmen Shahbazyan wins(80.1%)

Actual result: Edmen Shahbazyan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Edmen Shahbazyan at -315 American odds

+$32 profit

$132 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Dalcha Lungiambula enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Edmen Shahbazyan is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Dalcha Lungiambula has lost 60% of fights by KO.
  • Dalcha Lungiambula is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Edmen Shahbazyan has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Edmen Shahbazyan
Red Corner
VS
Dalcha Lungiambula
Blue Corner
-315
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
1513
Elo
1442
28
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'8"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Edmen Shahbazyan
oldest →
L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 24
W
KOvs Dylan Budka · Feb 25
W
vs Andre Petroski · Jun 25
W
KOvs Andre Muniz · Oct 25
L
DECvs Brendan Allen · Jun 26
latest
Dalcha LungiambulaL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Nov 19
W
vs Markus Perez · Jan 21
L
vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Sep 21
L
SUBvs Cody Brundage · Mar 22
L
KOvs Punahele Soriano · Jul 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Edmen ShahbazyanMetricDalcha Lungiambula
3.80
Strikes / min
3.07
3.60
Strikes absorbed / min
3.93
49%
Strike defense
52%
1.62
TDs / 15 min
2.14
66%
Takedown defense
77%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.20Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap-0.86

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1519 vs 1460Strikes3.8 vs 3.1Takedowns2.0 vs 2.1Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.00Form-0.7 vs -0.8
Edmen ShahbazyanDalcha Lungiambula

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Edmen Shahbazyan(10 fights)Dalcha Lungiambula(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +71.0|Blue -71.0
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +252.0|Blue -252.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Edmen ShahbazyanTargetDalcha Lungiambula

By target zone

31
40% acc · 57%
Head
6
25% acc · 26%
20
80% acc · 37%
Body
11
61% acc · 48%
3
75% acc · 6%
Leg
6
100% acc · 26%

By position

37
51% acc · 69%
Distance
22
48% acc · 96%
7
70% acc · 13%
Clinch
1
50% acc · 4%
10
40% acc · 19%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Edmen Shahbazyan rounds
0
even
0
Dalcha Lungiambula rounds
Round 1Edmen Shahbazyan edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:52
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:15Control
Round 2Edmen Shahbazyan edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:16
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
54 / 107
Sig Strikes
23 / 48
52%
Sig Str %
48%
60 / 113
Total Strikes
26 / 51
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 4
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:08
Ctrl Time
0:15

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dalcha Lungiambula11 / 2214 / 250 / 10
1Edmen Shahbazyan20 / 3526 / 410 / 00
2Dalcha Lungiambula12 / 2612 / 260 / 30
2Edmen Shahbazyan34 / 7234 / 720 / 00

Edmen Shahbazyan

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights15

Dalcha Lungiambula

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights7