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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Edmen Shahbazyan won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1513

Elo1385

Edmen ShahbazyanvsCharles ByrdUFC Prediction Result

UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · Saturday, March 2, 2019Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Edmen Shahbazyan won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:38

Style matchupEdmen Shahbazyan: Well-roundedvsCharles Byrd: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Edmen Shahbazyan wins(62.3%)

Actual result: Edmen Shahbazyan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Edmen Shahbazyan at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Edmen Shahbazyan is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Charles Byrd has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Edmen Shahbazyan has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Edmen Shahbazyan

Red Corner

Charles Byrd

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1513

Elo

1385

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'2"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Edmen Shahbazyan

oldest →

SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 24

KOvs Dylan Budka · Feb 25

vs Andre Petroski · Jun 25

KOvs Andre Muniz · Oct 25

DECvs Brendan Allen · Jun 26

latest

Charles ByrdL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs John Phillips · Mar 18

KOvs Darren Stewart · Sep 18

KOvs Maki Pitolo · Jun 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Edmen ShahbazyanMetricCharles Byrd

3.80

Strikes / min

3.43

3.60

Strikes absorbed / min

2.63

49%

Strike defense

55%

1.62

TDs / 15 min

2.50

66%

Takedown defense

40%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

1.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.20evenly matched on net striking+0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Edmen ShahbazyanCharles Byrd

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Edmen Shahbazyan(10 fights)Charles Byrd(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +127.8|Blue -127.8

Recent Form

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red -83.0|Blue +83.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Edmen ShahbazyanTargetCharles Byrd

By target zone

65% acc · 100%

Head

0% acc

Body

0% acc

Leg

100% acc · 100%

By position

40% acc · 31%

Distance

17% acc · 100%

100% acc · 54%

Clinch

50% acc · 15%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Edmen Shahbazyan rounds

even

Charles Byrd rounds

Round 1Edmen Shahbazyan edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 21

Sig Strikes

1 / 6

61%

Sig Str %

16%

13 / 21

Total Strikes

1 / 6

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Charles Byrd	1 / 6	1 / 6	0 / 1	0
1	Edmen Shahbazyan	13 / 21	13 / 21	0 / 0	0

Edmen Shahbazyan

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights15

Charles Byrd

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4