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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Edmen Shahbazyan won · U-DEC R3

Elo1513

Elo1485

Edmen ShahbazyanvsAndre PetroskiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · Saturday, June 14, 2025Atlanta, Georgia, USA

Official fight result

Edmen Shahbazyan won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupEdmen Shahbazyan: Well-roundedvsAndre Petroski: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Edmen Shahbazyan wins(56.2%)

Actual result: Edmen Shahbazyan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Edmen Shahbazyan at -168 American odds

+$60 profit

$160 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Edmen Shahbazyan is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Andre Petroski has lost 80% of fights by KO.
Andre Petroski has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Andre Petroski (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Edmen Shahbazyan

Red Corner

Andre Petroski

Blue Corner

-168

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+142

(41%)

1513

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'2"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Edmen Shahbazyan

oldest →

KOvs AJ Dobson · Mar 24

SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 24

KOvs Dylan Budka · Feb 25

KOvs Andre Muniz · Oct 25

DECvs Brendan Allen · Jun 26

latest

Andre PetroskiL2 streak

oldest →

vs Josh Fremd · Jul 24

vs Dylan Budka · Sep 24

vs Rodolfo Vieira · Feb 25

KOvs Cam Rowston · Sep 25

KOvs Cody Brundage · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Edmen ShahbazyanMetricAndre Petroski

3.80

Strikes / min

2.81

3.60

Strikes absorbed / min

2.79

49%

Strike defense

53%

1.62

TDs / 15 min

3.15

66%

Takedown defense

86%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.20evenly matched on net striking+0.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Edmen ShahbazyanAndre Petroski

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Edmen Shahbazyan(10 fights)Andre Petroski(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +27.7|Blue -27.7

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Edmen ShahbazyanTargetAndre Petroski

By target zone

36% acc · 70%

Head

29% acc · 44%

48% acc · 21%

Body

76% acc · 38%

50% acc · 9%

Leg

40% acc · 18%

By position

39% acc · 94%

Distance

40% acc · 97%

Clinch

50% acc · 3%

43% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Edmen Shahbazyan rounds

even

Andre Petroski rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 2Edmen Shahbazyan edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:15Control

Round 3Edmen Shahbazyan edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:15

Knockdowns1

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:04Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

53 / 136

Sig Strikes

34 / 84

38.7%

Sig Str %

40.7%

58 / 142

Total Strikes

34 / 84

0 / 1

TDs

2 / 6

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:15

Ctrl Time

0:23

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Andre Petroski	13 / 27	13 / 27	0 / 3
1	Edmen Shahbazyan	15 / 41	15 / 41	0 / 1
2	Andre Petroski	12 / 34	12 / 34	1 / 1
2	Edmen Shahbazyan	18 / 50	18 / 50	0 / 0
3	Andre Petroski	9 / 23	9 / 23	1 / 2
3	Edmen Shahbazyan	20 / 45	25 / 51	0 / 0

Edmen Shahbazyan

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights15

Andre Petroski

StanceSwitch

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights12