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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Edmen Shahbazyan won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1513

Elo1485

Edmen ShahbazyanvsAndre MunizUFC Prediction Result

UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · Saturday, October 4, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Edmen Shahbazyan won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:58

Style matchupEdmen Shahbazyan: Well-roundedvsAndre Muniz: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Edmen Shahbazyan wins(60.1%)

Actual result: Edmen Shahbazyan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Edmen Shahbazyan at -320 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Edmen Shahbazyan is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Andre Muniz has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Edmen Shahbazyan has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Andre Muniz (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Edmen Shahbazyan

Red Corner

Andre Muniz

Blue Corner

-320

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+260

(28%)

1513

Elo

1485

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Edmen Shahbazyan

oldest →

KOvs AJ Dobson · Mar 24

SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 24

KOvs Dylan Budka · Feb 25

vs Andre Petroski · Jun 25

DECvs Brendan Allen · Jun 26

latest

Andre Muniz

oldest →

vs Uriah Hall · Jul 22

SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 23

KOvs Paul Craig · Jul 23

vs JunYong Park · Dec 23

KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Edmen ShahbazyanMetricAndre Muniz

3.80

Strikes / min

2.08

3.60

Strikes absorbed / min

2.46

49%

Strike defense

51%

1.62

TDs / 15 min

3.98

66%

Takedown defense

35%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.20evenly matched on net striking-0.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Edmen ShahbazyanAndre Muniz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Edmen Shahbazyan(10 fights)Andre Muniz(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +27.8|Blue -27.8

Recent Form

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -49.0|Blue +49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Edmen ShahbazyanTargetAndre Muniz

By target zone

44% acc · 80%

Head

30% acc · 40%

100% acc · 12%

Body

20% acc · 13%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

88% acc · 47%

By position

44% acc · 48%

Distance

39% acc · 100%

50% acc · 4%

Clinch

57% acc · 48%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Edmen Shahbazyan rounds

even

Andre Muniz rounds

Round 1Edmen Shahbazyan edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:39

Knockdowns1

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:18Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

25 / 50

Sig Strikes

15 / 38

50%

Sig Str %

39%

26 / 51

Total Strikes

17 / 40

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 3

—

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

0:39

Ctrl Time

0:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Andre Muniz	15 / 38	17 / 40	1 / 3	0
1	Edmen Shahbazyan	25 / 50	26 / 51	0 / 0	0

Edmen Shahbazyan

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights15

Andre Muniz

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights10