Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edgar Chairez enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Joshua Van enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Joshua Van has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Joshua Van has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Edgar Chairez has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edgar ChairezW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Tatsuro Taira · Jul 23W
SUBvs Daniel Lacerda · Feb 24W
SUBvs CJ Vergara · Mar 25W
vs Felipe Bunes · Feb 26W
SUBvs Bruno Silva · Jun 26 Joshua VanW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Bruno Silva · Jun 25W
vs Brandon Royval · Jun 25W
KOvs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 25W
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edgar ChairezMetricJoshua Van
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.10Δ 3.71 — meaningful gap+2.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Edgar ChairezJoshua Van
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edgar Chairez(6 fights)Joshua Van(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -57.4|Blue +57.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +140.0|Blue -140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Edgar ChairezTargetJoshua Van
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Edgar Chairez edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns0
Control0:00
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Joshua Van edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:00
71Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:14Control
Round 3Joshua Van edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:27
24Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:12Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
