Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Gustafsson enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Glover Teixeira threatens submissions; Alexander Gustafsson has lost 38% of fights by sub.
- Alexander Gustafsson has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexander GustafssonL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Jan Blachowicz · Sep 16L
SUBvs Anthony Smith · Jun 19L
SUBvs Fabricio Werdum · Jul 20L
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Jul 22 Glover TeixeiraL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Anthony Smith · May 20W
SUBvs Thiago Santos · Nov 20W
SUBvs Jan Blachowicz · Oct 21L
SUBvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 22L
vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexander GustafssonMetricGlover Teixeira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.50Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap-0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alexander GustafssonGlover Teixeira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexander Gustafsson(10 fights)Glover Teixeira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -19.4|Blue +19.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +161.0|Blue -161.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alexander GustafssonTargetGlover Teixeira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
4
Alexander Gustafsson rounds
Round 1Alexander Gustafsson edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:23
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Alexander Gustafsson edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns1
Control1:34
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:24Control
0Knockdowns
Round 4Alexander Gustafsson edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:52
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Alexander Gustafsson edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
