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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Eddie Wineland won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1427
Eddie Wineland
Elo1355
Yves Jabouin

Eddie WinelandvsYves JabouinUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · Saturday, January 25, 2014Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Eddie Wineland won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:16

Style matchupEddie Wineland: StrikervsYves Jabouin: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Eddie Wineland wins(52.8%)

Actual result: Eddie Wineland wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Eddie Wineland at -500 American odds

+$20 profit

$120 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Eddie Wineland is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Yves Jabouin has lost 60% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Eddie Wineland
Red Corner
VS
Yves Jabouin
Blue Corner
-500
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+400
(20%)
1427
Elo
1355
42
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Eddie WinelandL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Alejandro Perez · Jul 18
W
KOvs Grigorii Popov · Jun 19
L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 20
L
KOvs John Castaneda · Feb 21
L
KOvs Cody Stamann · Jun 22
latest
Yves JabouinL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Brad Pickett · Sep 12
W
vs Dustin Pague · Jun 13
W
vs Mike Easton · Jun 14
L
KOvs Thomas Almeida · Apr 15
L
SUBvs Felipe Arantes · Aug 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Eddie WinelandMetricYves Jabouin
3.40
Strikes / min
3.06
3.76
Strikes absorbed / min
2.93
68%
Strike defense
62%
0.34
TDs / 15 min
1.94
86%
Takedown defense
82%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.36evenly matched on net striking+0.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1492 vs 1530Strikes39.4 vs 30.3Takedowns0.4 vs 0.8Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.2 vs 0.5
Eddie WinelandYves Jabouin

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Eddie Wineland(10 fights)Yves Jabouin(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +72.3|Blue -72.3
Recent Form
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -98.0|Blue +98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Eddie WinelandTargetYves Jabouin

By target zone

42
35% acc · 78%
Head
20
24% acc · 61%
9
64% acc · 17%
Body
8
40% acc · 24%
3
100% acc · 6%
Leg
5
100% acc · 15%

By position

22
27% acc · 41%
Distance
32
30% acc · 97%
5
83% acc · 9%
Clinch
1
50% acc · 3%
27
55% acc · 50%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Eddie Wineland rounds
0
even
1
Yves Jabouin rounds
Round 1Yves Jabouin edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Eddie Wineland edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control1:15
Knockdowns1
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
54 / 138
Sig Strikes
33 / 109
37.5%
Sig Str %
29%
58 / 142
Total Strikes
33 / 109
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:15
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Yves Jabouin21 / 6221 / 620 / 00
1Eddie Wineland17 / 5317 / 530 / 10
2Yves Jabouin12 / 4712 / 470 / 00
2Eddie Wineland37 / 8541 / 890 / 00

Eddie Wineland

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights16

Yves Jabouin

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10