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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Johnny Eduardo won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1427

Elo1409

Eddie WinelandvsJohnny EduardoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · Saturday, May 10, 2014Cincinnati, Ohio, USA

Official fight result

Johnny Eduardo won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:37

Style matchupEddie Wineland: StrikervsJohnny Eduardo: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Eddie Wineland wins(58.9%)

Actual result: Johnny Eduardo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Eddie Wineland at -935 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Eddie Wineland enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Johnny Eduardo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Johnny Eduardo is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Eddie Wineland has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Eddie Wineland has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Eddie Wineland

Red Corner

Johnny Eduardo

Blue Corner

-935

(90%)

Vegas Odds

+735

(12%)

1427

Elo

1409

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

175.26 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Eddie WinelandL3 streak

oldest →

vs Alejandro Perez · Jul 18

KOvs Grigorii Popov · Jun 19

KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 20

KOvs John Castaneda · Feb 21

KOvs Cody Stamann · Jun 22

latest

Johnny EduardoL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Aljamain Sterling · Dec 15

KOvs Manvel Gamburyan · Nov 16

KOvs Matthew Lopez · Jun 17

SUBvs Nathaniel Wood · Jun 18

SUBvs Alejandro Perez · Oct 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Eddie WinelandMetricJohnny Eduardo

3.40

Strikes / min

2.95

3.76

Strikes absorbed / min

3.22

68%

Strike defense

63%

0.34

TDs / 15 min

0.22

86%

Takedown defense

58%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.36evenly matched on net striking-0.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Eddie WinelandJohnny Eduardo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Eddie Wineland(10 fights)Johnny Eduardo(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +18.6|Blue -18.6

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -620.0|Blue +620.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Eddie WinelandTargetJohnny Eduardo

By target zone

6% acc · 50%

Head

27% acc · 27%

100% acc · 17%

Body

100% acc · 9%

100% acc · 33%

Leg

88% acc · 64%

By position

11% acc · 100%

Distance

53% acc · 91%

Clinch

100% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Eddie Wineland rounds

even

Johnny Eduardo rounds

Round 1Johnny Eduardo edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

6 / 56

Sig Strikes

11 / 20

10%

Sig Str %

55%

6 / 56

Total Strikes

11 / 20

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 3

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Johnny Eduardo	11 / 20	11 / 20	0 / 3	0
1	Eddie Wineland	6 / 56	6 / 56	0 / 0	0

Eddie Wineland

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights16

Johnny Eduardo

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights8