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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Eddie Wineland won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1427
Eddie Wineland
Elo1378

Eddie WinelandvsGrigorii PopovUFC Prediction Result

UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · Saturday, June 8, 2019Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Eddie Wineland won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:47

Model Prediction: Eddie Wineland wins(63.7%)

Actual result: Eddie Wineland wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Eddie Wineland at -155 American odds

+$65 profit

$165 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Eddie Wineland enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
  • Eddie Wineland is a KO finisher (83% of wins). Grigorii Popov has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Grigorii Popov (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Eddie Wineland
Red Corner
VS
Grigorii Popov
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
1427
Elo
1378
42
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'7"
175.26 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Eddie WinelandL5 streak
oldest →
L
vs John Dodson · Apr 17
L
vs Alejandro Perez · Jul 18
L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 20
L
KOvs John Castaneda · Feb 21
L
KOvs Cody Stamann · Jun 22
latest
Grigorii Popov
oldest →
L
DECvs Davey Grant · Nov 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Eddie WinelandMetricGrigorii Popov
3.40
Strikes / min
—
3.76
Strikes absorbed / min
—
68%
Strike defense
—
0.34
TDs / 15 min
—
86%
Takedown defense
—
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1489 vs 1500Strikes35.8 vs —Takedowns0.2 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form-0.5 vs 0.0
Eddie WinelandGrigorii Popov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Eddie Wineland(10 fights)Grigorii Popov(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +49.8|Blue -49.8
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red -48.0|Blue +48.0
Grappler Score
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Eddie Wineland

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights16

Grigorii Popov

StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights1