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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Josh Samman won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1355

Elo1357

Eddie GordonvsJosh SammanUFC Prediction Result

UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · Saturday, December 6, 2014Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Josh Samman won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:08

Model Prediction: Josh Samman wins(62.4%)

Actual result: Josh Samman wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Josh Samman at +130 American odds

+$130 profit

$230 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Eddie Gordon is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Josh Samman has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Eddie Gordon has 26pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Eddie Gordon has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Eddie Gordon

Red Corner

Josh Samman

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1355

Elo

1357

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'3"

193.04 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Eddie GordonL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Dhiego Lima · Jul 14

vs Chris Dempsey · Apr 15

SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Jun 15

latest

Josh SammanL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Kevin Casey · Apr 13

SUBvs Caio Magalhaes · Jul 15

SUBvs Tamdan McCrory · Dec 15

KOvs Tim Boetsch · Jul 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Eddie GordonMetricJosh Samman

2.03

Strikes / min

2.08

2.57

Strikes absorbed / min

2.47

60%

Strike defense

34%

1.93

TDs / 15 min

1.09

63%

Takedown defense

33%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.54evenly matched on net striking-0.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Eddie GordonJosh Samman

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Eddie Gordon(4 fights)Josh Samman(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.5|Blue +2.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -449.0|Blue +449.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Eddie GordonTargetJosh Samman

By target zone

53% acc · 100%

Head

33% acc · 45%

Body

50% acc · 27%

Leg

100% acc · 27%

By position

25% acc · 25%

Distance

41% acc · 82%

Clinch

100% acc · 18%

86% acc · 75%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Eddie Gordon rounds

even

Josh Samman rounds

Round 1Eddie Gordon edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns2

Control3:55

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:11Control

Round 2Josh Samman edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control2:37

Knockdowns0

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

8 / 15

Sig Strikes

11 / 24

60%

Sig Str %

45%

72 / 83

Total Strikes

35 / 48

2 / 2

TDs

1 / 2

100%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

6:32

Ctrl Time

0:16

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Josh Samman	7 / 14	24 / 31	1 / 2
1	Eddie Gordon	5 / 11	53 / 63	2 / 2
2	Josh Samman	4 / 10	11 / 17	0 / 0
2	Eddie Gordon	3 / 4	19 / 20	0 / 0

Eddie Gordon

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4

Josh Samman

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights5