Middleweight

3 Rounds

Chris Dempsey won · S-DEC R3

Elo1355

Elo1356

Eddie GordonvsChris DempseyUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · Saturday, April 18, 2015Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Chris Dempsey won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Eddie Gordon wins(75.6%)

Actual result: Chris Dempsey wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Eddie Gordon at -370 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chris Dempsey enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Eddie Gordon is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Chris Dempsey has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Eddie Gordon has 47pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Eddie Gordon has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Eddie Gordon

Red Corner

Chris Dempsey

Blue Corner

-370

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+310

(24%)

1355

Elo

1356

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'10"

193.04 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Eddie GordonL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Dhiego Lima · Jul 14

KOvs Josh Samman · Dec 14

SUBvs Antonio Carlos Junior · Jun 15

latest

Chris DempseyL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Ilir Latifi · Jul 14

KOvs Jonathan Wilson · Aug 15

KOvs Scott Askham · Feb 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Eddie GordonMetricChris Dempsey

2.03

Strikes / min

2.25

2.57

Strikes absorbed / min

2.82

60%

Strike defense

65%

1.93

TDs / 15 min

2.64

63%

Takedown defense

16%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.54evenly matched on net striking-0.57

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Eddie GordonChris Dempsey

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Eddie Gordon(4 fights)Chris Dempsey(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.5|Blue +1.5

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -140.0|Blue +140.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Eddie GordonTargetChris Dempsey

By target zone

26% acc · 97%

Head

28% acc · 84%

100% acc · 3%

Body

100% acc · 14%

Leg

50% acc · 2%

By position

26% acc · 95%

Distance

27% acc · 75%

33% acc · 5%

Clinch

75% acc · 14%

Ground

83% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Eddie Gordon rounds

even

Chris Dempsey rounds

Round 1Eddie Gordon edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control1:06

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:51Control

Round 2Chris Dempsey edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control1:32

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:54Control

Round 3Chris Dempsey edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns2

Control1:33

13Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:32Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

37 / 140

Sig Strikes

44 / 138

25.7%

Sig Str %

31.7%

48 / 154

Total Strikes

65 / 162

3 / 3

TDs

3 / 12

100%

TD %

22%

Sub Att

Rev

4:11

Ctrl Time

3:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Chris Dempsey	11 / 47	16 / 53	0 / 3
1	Eddie Gordon	18 / 62	21 / 65	0 / 0
2	Chris Dempsey	20 / 56	28 / 65	1 / 3
2	Eddie Gordon	10 / 44	14 / 49	1 / 1
3	Chris Dempsey	13 / 35	21 / 44	2 / 6
3	Eddie Gordon	9 / 34	13 / 40	2 / 2

Eddie Gordon

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4

Chris Dempsey

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights4