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Strawweight

3 Rounds

Alexia Thainara won · Decision R3

Elo1465

Elo1572

Amanda LemosvsAlexia ThainaraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · Saturday, August 8, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Alexia Thainara won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Engine 7.0 was correct

Pre-fight pick: Alexia Thainara

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Alexia Thainara at -262 American odds · hypothetical only

+$38 profit

$138 total returned

Style matchupAmanda Lemos: Well-roundedvsAlexia Thainara: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alexia Thainara enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alexia Thainara has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Alexia Thainara has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Amanda Lemos

Red Corner

Alexia Thainara

Blue Corner

+211

(32%)

Vegas Odds

-262

(72%)

1465

Elo

1572

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'4"

165.1 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Amanda LemosL2 streak

oldest →

vs Mackenzie Dern · Feb 24

SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Jul 24

vs Iasmin Lucindo · Mar 25

vs Tatiana Suarez · Sep 25

vs Gillian Robertson · Mar 26

latest

Alexia ThainaraW3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Molly McCann · Mar 25

vs Loma Lookboonmee · Sep 25

vs Bruna Brasil · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Amanda LemosMetricAlexia Thainara

2.75

Strikes / min

4.62

3.01

Strikes absorbed / min

2.46

45%

Strike defense

59%

1.02

TDs / 15 min

4.54

63%

Takedown defense

100%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

1.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.26Δ 2.42 — meaningful gap+2.16

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Amanda Lemos(10 fights)Alexia Thainara(4 fights)

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Amanda LemosTargetAlexia Thainara

By target zone

46% acc · 52%

Head

49% acc · 43%

63% acc · 30%

Body

81% acc · 27%

100% acc · 18%

Leg

89% acc · 30%

By position

54% acc · 93%

Distance

57% acc · 64%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

83% acc · 30%

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Amanda Lemos rounds

even

Alexia Thainara rounds

Round 1Alexia Thainara edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:11

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:37Control

Round 2Alexia Thainara edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:22Control

Round 3Alexia Thainara edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:11

30Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:44Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

56 / 100

Sig Strikes

81 / 125

56%

Sig Str %

64.7%

68 / 115

Total Strikes

199 / 246

0 / 2

TDs

2 / 6

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:22

Ctrl Time

7:43

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Alexia Thainara	27 / 38	69 / 80	0 / 3
1	Amanda Lemos	17 / 36	23 / 42	0 / 1
2	Alexia Thainara	24 / 44	49 / 70	1 / 2
2	Amanda Lemos	20 / 34	25 / 42	0 / 1
3	Alexia Thainara	30 / 43	81 / 96	1 / 1
3	Amanda Lemos	19 / 30	20 / 31	0 / 0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Alexia Thainara

Odds

-262

Market-implied probability

Alexia Thainara 69%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Amanda Lemos$311

Alexia Thainara (model pick · research)$138

69% market-implied · model 57% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 19, 2026, 4:16 AM UTC · never rewritten

Amanda Lemos

StanceSouthpaw

Height64.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights16

Alexia Thainara

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights4