Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Raoni Barcelos has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Raoni Barcelos has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raoni BarcelosW5 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Feb 24W
vs Payton Talbott · Jan 25W
vs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 25W
DECvs Montel Jackson · Apr 26 Timur ValievL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Trevin Jones · Aug 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raoni BarcelosMetricTimur Valiev
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.41Δ 1.45 — meaningful gap+1.86
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Raoni BarcelosTimur Valiev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raoni Barcelos(10 fights)Timur Valiev(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +55.8|Blue -55.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -77.0|Blue +77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Raoni BarcelosTargetTimur Valiev
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Timur Valiev edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:16
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:28Control
Round 2Raoni Barcelos edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control1:07
Knockdowns2
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Timur Valiev edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
