Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jon Madsen has 44pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jon Madsen has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon Madsen
oldest →W
vs Mostapha Al-Turk · Apr 10W
KOvs Gilbert Yvel · Oct 10L
KOvs Mike Russow · Mar 11 Karlos VemolaL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Seth Petruzelli · Nov 10L
vs Ronny Markes · Aug 11W
SUBvs Mike Massenzio · May 12L
SUBvs Francis Carmont · Jul 12L
SUBvs Caio Magalhaes · Jun 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon MadsenMetricKarlos Vemola
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.28Δ 1.74 — meaningful gap-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jon MadsenKarlos Vemola
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Madsen(4 fights)Karlos Vemola(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +138.0|Blue -138.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.3|Blue +48.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jon MadsenTargetKarlos Vemola
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jon Madsen edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control3:07
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 2Jon Madsen edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control3:23
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 3Jon Madsen edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control3:21
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
