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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

CB Dollaway won · U-DEC R3

Elo1458

Elo1491

Ed HermanvsCB DollawayUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · Friday, July 7, 2017Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

CB Dollaway won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupEd Herman: Submission grapplervsCB Dollaway: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Ed Herman wins(72.0%)

Actual result: CB Dollaway wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ed Herman at +125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

CB Dollaway has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Ed Herman

Red Corner

CB Dollaway

Blue Corner

+125

(44%)

Vegas Odds

-145

(59%)

1458

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'2"

195.58 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ed HermanL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Patrick Cummins · May 19

vs Khadis Ibragimov · Nov 19

SUBvs Mike Rodriguez · Sep 20

vs Alonzo Menifield · Aug 21

KOvs Zak Cummings · Apr 23

latest

CB Dollaway

oldest →

KOvs Lyoto Machida · Dec 14

vs Michael Bisping · Apr 15

KOvs Nate Marquardt · Dec 15

vs Hector Lombard · Mar 18

KOvs Khalid Murtazaliev · Sep 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ed HermanMetricCB Dollaway

3.31

Strikes / min

2.65

3.71

Strikes absorbed / min

2.58

42%

Strike defense

54%

1.96

TDs / 15 min

3.55

59%

Takedown defense

62%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.40evenly matched on net striking+0.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ed HermanCB Dollaway

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ed Herman(10 fights)CB Dollaway(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -33.4|Blue +33.4

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -224.0|Blue +224.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ed HermanTargetCB Dollaway

By target zone

55% acc · 88%

Head

69% acc · 70%

100% acc · 13%

Body

83% acc · 9%

Leg

100% acc · 20%

By position

52% acc · 54%

Distance

79% acc · 28%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

88% acc · 13%

67% acc · 42%

Ground

71% acc · 59%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ed Herman rounds

even

CB Dollaway rounds

Round 1CB Dollaway edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:05

16Sig. strikes

5Takedowns

4:37Control

Round 2Ed Herman edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control2:40

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

Round 3CB Dollaway edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:46Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 41

Sig Strikes

54 / 72

42.7%

Sig Str %

74.3%

48 / 68

Total Strikes

111 / 134

1 / 1

TDs

6 / 6

100%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

2:45

Ctrl Time

9:33

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	CB Dollaway	16 / 22	33 / 39	5 / 5	0
1	Ed Herman	5 / 7	7 / 9	0 / 0	2
2	CB Dollaway	18 / 24	27 / 36	0 / 0	1
2	Ed Herman	19 / 33	38 / 55	1 / 1	0
3	CB Dollaway	20 / 26	51 / 59	1 / 1	0
3	Ed Herman	0 / 1	3 / 4	0 / 0	1

Ed Herman

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights16

CB Dollaway

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights14