Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Camozzi enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris CamozziL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Vitor Miranda · May 16L
SUBvs Thales Leites · Aug 16L
vs Daniel Kelly · Nov 16L
vs Trevor Smith · May 17 Tom Watson
oldest →W
KOvs Stanislav Nedkov · Feb 13L
vs Thales Leites · Aug 13L
vs Rafael Natal · Jan 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris CamozziMetricTom Watson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.61Δ 1.01 — meaningful gap-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chris CamozziTom Watson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Camozzi(10 fights)Tom Watson(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +5.3|Blue -5.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -77.0|Blue +77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chris CamozziTargetTom Watson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chris Camozzi edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns1
Control1:40
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Round 2Tom Watson edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns0
Control0:48
33Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:03Control
Round 3Chris Camozzi edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns2
Control1:56
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
