Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Max Holloway is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Justin Lawrence has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Justin Lawrence
oldest →W
KOvs John Cofer · Jun 12L
SUBvs Daniel Pineda · Apr 13 Max Holloway
oldest →W
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Apr 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Oct 24W
vs Dustin Poirier · Jul 25L
vs Charles Oliveira · Mar 26W
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Justin LawrenceMetricMax Holloway
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.01Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap+2.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Justin LawrenceMax Holloway
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Justin Lawrence(3 fights)Max Holloway(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -165.4|Blue +165.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Justin LawrenceTargetMax Holloway
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Justin Lawrence edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control0:09
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Max Holloway edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
1Knockdowns
