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Featherweight

3 Rounds

SeungWoo Choi won · U-DEC R3

Elo1487

Elo1493

SeungWoo ChoivsJarno ErrensUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, August 26, 2023Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

SeungWoo Choi won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: SeungWoo Choi wins(51.8%)

Actual result: SeungWoo Choi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

SeungWoo Choi at -148 American odds

+$68 profit

$168 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

SeungWoo Choi enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Jarno Errens has 14pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
SeungWoo Choi has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

SeungWoo Choi

Red Corner

Jarno Errens

Blue Corner

-148

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+124

(45%)

1487

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

187.96 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

SeungWoo ChoiL5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Alex Caceres · Oct 21

vs Josh Culibao · Jun 22

KOvs Michael Trizano · Nov 22

KOvs Steve Garcia · Jul 24

KOvs Kevin Vallejos · Mar 25

latest

Jarno Errens

oldest →

vs William Gomis · Sep 22

vs Steven Nguyen · Mar 24

SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Aug 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

SeungWoo ChoiMetricJarno Errens

3.56

Strikes / min

3.29

3.16

Strikes absorbed / min

3.29

47%

Strike defense

61%

0.83

TDs / 15 min

0.00

70%

Takedown defense

33%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.40evenly matched on net striking0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

SeungWoo ChoiJarno Errens

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

SeungWoo Choi(10 fights)Jarno Errens(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -5.6|Blue +5.6

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -70.0|Blue +70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

SeungWoo ChoiTargetJarno Errens

By target zone

32% acc · 39%

Head

28% acc · 43%

53% acc · 14%

Body

43% acc · 20%

84% acc · 46%

Leg

73% acc · 37%

By position

48% acc · 91%

Distance

41% acc · 100%

67% acc · 4%

Clinch

0% acc

60% acc · 5%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

SeungWoo Choi rounds

even

Jarno Errens rounds

Round 1SeungWoo Choi edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:55

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:17Control

Round 2SeungWoo Choi edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control2:34

Knockdowns0

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:17Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3SeungWoo Choi edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control1:52

Knockdowns1

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

56 / 115

Sig Strikes

30 / 76

48%

Sig Str %

40.7%

108 / 179

Total Strikes

40 / 88

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 4

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:21

Ctrl Time

1:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jarno Errens	18 / 41	18 / 41	0 / 2
1	SeungWoo Choi	26 / 52	29 / 58	0 / 0
2	Jarno Errens	4 / 8	14 / 19	0 / 1
2	SeungWoo Choi	9 / 19	28 / 41	1 / 1
3	Jarno Errens	8 / 27	8 / 28	0 / 1
3	SeungWoo Choi	21 / 44	51 / 80	0 / 0

SeungWoo Choi

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights8

Jarno Errens

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4