Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matthew Semelsberger enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Preston Parsons enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Preston Parsons has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Matthew Semelsberger (52.9%).
- Matthew Semelsberger has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matthew SemelsbergerL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Jake Matthews · Dec 22L
vs Jeremiah Wells · Apr 23L
KOvs Uros Medic · Jul 23L
KOvs Charles Radtke · Nov 24 Preston ParsonsL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 21L
vs Trevin Giles · Mar 23L
vs Oban Elliott · Jul 24L
KOvs Jacobe Smith · Jan 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matthew SemelsbergerMetricPreston Parsons
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.47evenly matched on net striking+0.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matthew SemelsbergerPreston Parsons
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matthew Semelsberger(10 fights)Preston Parsons(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.2|Blue +2.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -126.0|Blue +126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matthew SemelsbergerTargetPreston Parsons
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Matthew Semelsberger rounds
Round 1Preston Parsons edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:44
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:21Control
Round 2Preston Parsons edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control1:30
17Sig. strikes
4Takedowns
2:24Control
Round 3Preston Parsons edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:54
10Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:41Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
