Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Brett Johns won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1361

Brett JohnsvsKwan Ho KwakUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · Saturday, November 19, 2016Belfast, Northern Ireland, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Brett Johns won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Brett Johns wins(50.3%)

Actual result: Brett Johns wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brett Johns at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Brett Johns has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Kwan Ho Kwak (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Brett Johns

Red Corner

Kwan Ho Kwak

Blue Corner

-220

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+180

(36%)

1493

Elo

1361

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'7"

Height

5'5"

180.34 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Brett JohnsW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Joe Soto · Dec 17

vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 18

vs Pedro Munhoz · Aug 18

SUBvs Tony Gravely · Jan 20

vs Montel Jackson · Jul 20

latest

Kwan Ho Kwak

oldest →

KOvs Russell Doane · Jun 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Brett JohnsMetricKwan Ho Kwak

2.86

Strikes / min

3.29

3.84

Strikes absorbed / min

3.45

53%

Strike defense

47%

4.92

TDs / 15 min

0.78

58%

Takedown defense

26%

1.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.98evenly matched on net striking-0.16

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Brett Johns(7 fights)Kwan Ho Kwak(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +132.0|Blue -132.0

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Brett JohnsTargetKwan Ho Kwak

By target zone

61% acc · 92%

Head

34% acc · 66%

60% acc · 6%

Body

65% acc · 21%

100% acc · 2%

Leg

88% acc · 13%

By position

51% acc · 55%

Distance

38% acc · 83%

0% acc

Clinch

75% acc · 17%

85% acc · 45%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Brett Johns rounds

even

Kwan Ho Kwak rounds

Round 1Brett Johns edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns7

Control4:06

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Brett Johns edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns2

Control2:23

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns2

Control3:24

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

49 / 80

Sig Strikes

53 / 128

61.7%

Sig Str %

41.7%

127 / 171

Total Strikes

59 / 134

11 / 15

TDs

0 / 0

67.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

9:53

Ctrl Time

0:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Kwan Ho Kwak	9 / 20	9 / 20	0 / 0
1	Brett Johns	11 / 19	24 / 37	7 / 8
2	Kwan Ho Kwak	14 / 54	14 / 54	0 / 0
2	Brett Johns	21 / 38	45 / 65	2 / 3
3	Kwan Ho Kwak	30 / 54	36 / 60	0 / 0
3	Brett Johns	17 / 23	58 / 69	2 / 4

Brett Johns

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights7

Kwan Ho Kwak

StanceSwitch

Height65.0"

Reach—

Fights2