Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Court McGee has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marcio Alexandre Junior (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Court McGee
oldest →L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22L
KOvs Matt Brown · May 23W
SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24L
vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25 Marcio Alexandre JuniorL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Warlley Alves · May 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Court McGeeMetricMarcio Alexandre Junior
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.85Δ 2.13 — meaningful gap-1.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Court McGeeMarcio Alexandre Junior
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Court McGee(10 fights)Marcio Alexandre Junior(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +136.7|Blue -136.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.6|Blue -2.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +371.0|Blue -371.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Court McGeeTargetMarcio Alexandre Junior
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Marcio Alexandre Junior rounds
Round 1Court McGee edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control1:30
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 2Court McGee edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control2:23
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Court McGee edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns2
Control3:10
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
