Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Hernandez is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Chase Hooper has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Alexander Hernandez has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chase Hooper (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chase Hooper
oldest →W
SUBvs Viacheslav Borshchev · May 24W
SUBvs Clay Guida · Dec 24L
KOvs Lance Gibson Jr. · Mar 26W
SUBvs Mitch Ramirez · Jul 26 Alexander Hernandez
oldest →L
vs Damon Jackson · Apr 24W
vs Austin Hubbard · Oct 24W
vs Kurt Holobaugh · Mar 25W
KOvs Diego Ferreira · Sep 25L
DECvs Rafa Garcia · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chase HooperMetricAlexander Hernandez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.48Δ 1.70 — meaningful gap-0.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chase HooperAlexander Hernandez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chase Hooper(10 fights)Alexander Hernandez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chase HooperTargetAlexander Hernandez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Alexander Hernandez rounds
Round 1Alexander Hernandez edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
