Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sergio Pettis
oldest →L
vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 17W
vs Joseph Benavidez · Jun 18L
vs Jussier Formiga · Oct 18 Brandon MorenoL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Brandon Royval · Feb 24L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 25L
vs Lone'er Kavanagh · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sergio PettisMetricBrandon Moreno
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.97evenly matched on net striking+0.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sergio PettisBrandon Moreno
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sergio Pettis(10 fights)Brandon Moreno(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +5.3|Blue -5.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +2.5|Blue -2.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +97.0|Blue -97.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sergio PettisTargetBrandon Moreno
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brandon Moreno edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:33Control
Round 2Sergio Pettis edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:04
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:21Control
Round 3Sergio Pettis edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:05
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Sergio Pettis edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 5Brandon Moreno edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:03
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:51Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
