Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex Garcia
oldest →L
KOvs Sean Strickland · Feb 16W
SUBvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 17L
vs Ryan LaFlare · Apr 18 Court McGee
oldest →L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 22L
KOvs Matt Brown · May 23W
SUBvs Tim Means · Oct 24L
vs Michael Chiesa · Jun 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex GarciaMetricCourt McGee
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.22Δ 2.07 — meaningful gap+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alex GarciaCourt McGee
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Garcia(10 fights)Court McGee(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -124.2|Blue +124.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.1|Blue +2.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -161.0|Blue +161.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alex GarciaTargetCourt McGee
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Court McGee edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control1:28
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Court McGee edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:06
Knockdowns0
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:53Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Court McGee edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control1:31
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:34Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
