Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Cathal Pendred has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Sean Spencer (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cathal PendredL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Mike King · Jul 14W
vs Gasan Umalatov · Oct 14W
vs Augusto Montano · Jun 15L
KOvs Tom Breese · Oct 15 Sean SpencerL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Paulo Thiago · Sep 14L
SUBvs Yancy Medeiros · Sep 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cathal PendredMetricSean Spencer
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.52evenly matched on net striking+0.22
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cathal PendredSean Spencer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cathal Pendred(6 fights)Sean Spencer(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.3|Blue +2.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.2|Blue +2.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -21.0|Blue +21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cathal PendredTargetSean Spencer
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns2
Control2:47
Knockdowns0
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Cathal Pendred edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control1:02
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Cathal Pendred edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control0:39
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
