Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bia Mesquita has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Montse Rendon has 85pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bia MesquitaW2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Irina Alekseeva · Oct 25W
SUBvs Melissa Mullins · Jun 26 Montse Rendon
oldest →W
vs Alice Pereira · Sep 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bia MesquitaMetricMontse Rendon
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+5.14Δ 5.84 — meaningful gap-0.70
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Bia MesquitaMontse Rendon
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bia Mesquita(3 fights)Montse Rendon(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +73.0|Blue -73.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bia MesquitaTargetMontse Rendon
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Bia Mesquita edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control1:46
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
