Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Castaneda (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
John Castaneda
oldest →L
KOvs Daniel Santos · Oct 22W
vs Muin Gafurov · Jun 23L
vs Daniel Marcos · Jun 24L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 25D
DECvs Mark Vologdin · Apr 26 Kyung Ho Kang
oldest →W
vs Liu Pingyuan · Dec 19W
vs Batgerel Danaa · Jun 22W
SUBvs Cristian Quinonez · Jun 23L
vs Muin Gafurov · Jun 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
John CastanedaMetricKyung Ho Kang
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
John CastanedaKyung Ho Kang
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
John Castaneda(9 fights)Kyung Ho Kang(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
John CastanedaTargetKyung Ho Kang
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1John Castaneda edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2John Castaneda edged it
Sig. strikes38
Takedowns1
Control0:55
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3John Castaneda edged it
Sig. strikes40
Takedowns2
Control1:23
40Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
