Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Thomas Almeida enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jimmie Rivera has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Thomas Almeida (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jimmie Rivera
oldest →L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Feb 19W
vs Cody Stamann · Jul 20L
vs Pedro Munhoz · Feb 21 Thomas AlmeidaL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · May 16W
KOvs Albert Morales · Nov 16L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 20L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Mar 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jimmie RiveraMetricThomas Almeida
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.13evenly matched on net striking-0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jimmie RiveraThomas Almeida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jimmie Rivera(10 fights)Thomas Almeida(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +95.4|Blue -95.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jimmie RiveraTargetThomas Almeida
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jimmie Rivera edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:11
Knockdowns2
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:16Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Jimmie Rivera edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:03
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jimmie Rivera edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns2
Control1:34
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
