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Lightweight

3 Rounds

James Vick won · U-DEC R3

Elo1377

Elo1373

James VickvsNick HeinUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · Saturday, November 22, 2014Austin, Texas, USA

Official fight result

James Vick won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJames Vick: Well-roundedvsNick Hein: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Nick Hein wins(62.3%)

Actual result: James Vick wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nick Hein at +255 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

James Vick enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Nick Hein enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Nick Hein has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Nick Hein (53.5%).
James Vick has a 25cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

James Vick

Red Corner

Nick Hein

Blue Corner

-280

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+255

(28%)

1377

Elo

1373

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

5'6"

193.04 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

James VickL4 streak

oldest →

vs Francisco Trinaldo · Feb 18

KOvs Justin Gaethje · Aug 18

vs Paul Felder · Feb 19

KOvs Dan Hooker · Jul 19

KOvs Niko Price · Oct 19

latest

Nick HeinL3 streak

oldest →

vs Yusuke Kasuya · Sep 15

vs Tae Hyun Bang · Sep 16

SUBvs Davi Ramos · May 18

vs Damir Hadzovic · Jul 18

KOvs Frank Camacho · Jun 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

James VickMetricNick Hein

4.13

Strikes / min

2.65

3.31

Strikes absorbed / min

3.61

60%

Strike defense

59%

0.26

TDs / 15 min

0.86

57%

Takedown defense

83%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.82Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap-0.96

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

James VickNick Hein

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

James Vick(10 fights)Nick Hein(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +3.6|Blue -3.6

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -84.0|Blue +84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

James VickTargetNick Hein

By target zone

28% acc · 80%

Head

19% acc · 44%

19% acc · 8%

Body

25% acc · 16%

63% acc · 13%

Leg

83% acc · 40%

By position

29% acc · 100%

Distance

28% acc · 88%

0% acc

Clinch

25% acc · 4%

0% acc

Ground

100% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

James Vick rounds

even

Nick Hein rounds

Round 1Nick Hein edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:15

Knockdowns0

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:58Control

2Knockdowns

Round 2James Vick edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

40 / 140

Sig Strikes

25 / 85

28%

Sig Str %

36.3%

43 / 143

Total Strikes

29 / 90

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:15

Ctrl Time

1:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Nick Hein	6 / 10	10 / 15	0 / 0
1	James Vick	11 / 40	14 / 43	0 / 0
2	Nick Hein	5 / 35	5 / 35	0 / 1
2	James Vick	15 / 47	15 / 47	0 / 0
3	Nick Hein	14 / 40	14 / 40	0 / 0
3	James Vick	14 / 53	14 / 53	0 / 0

James Vick

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights14

Nick Hein

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights8