Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Weidman has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris Weidman
oldest →L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Oct 19W
DECvs Omari Akhmedov · Aug 20L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Apr 21L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 24 Brad TavaresL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris WeidmanMetricBrad Tavares
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.26evenly matched on net striking+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chris WeidmanBrad Tavares
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Weidman(10 fights)Brad Tavares(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +13.7|Blue -13.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +728.0|Blue -728.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chris WeidmanTargetBrad Tavares
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brad Tavares edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:12
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Brad Tavares edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:54
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Brad Tavares edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:15
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
