Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Lauzon enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jonathan Pearce enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joe Lauzon threatens submissions; Jonathan Pearce has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Pearce (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Joe LauzonL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Clay Guida · Nov 17L
KOvs Chris Gruetzemacher · Apr 18 Jonathan PearceL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jul 22W
vs Darren Elkins · Dec 22L
SUBvs Joanderson Brito · Nov 23L
SUBvs Pat Sabatini · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Joe LauzonMetricJonathan Pearce
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.55Δ 4.35 — meaningful gap+1.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Joe LauzonJonathan Pearce
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Joe Lauzon(10 fights)Jonathan Pearce(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.8|Blue +48.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Joe LauzonTargetJonathan Pearce
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joe Lauzon edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns1
Control0:41
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
