Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Derrick Lewis is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Shamil Abdurakhimov has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Shamil Abdurakhimov has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Derrick LewisL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Jailton Almeida · Nov 23W
KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 24W
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Jul 25L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Jan 26L
KOvs Josh Hokit · Jun 26 Shamil AbdurakhimovL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Apr 19L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Sep 19L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Sep 21L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Mar 22L
KOvs Jailton Almeida · Jan 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Derrick LewisMetricShamil Abdurakhimov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.11evenly matched on net striking-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Derrick LewisShamil Abdurakhimov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Derrick Lewis(10 fights)Shamil Abdurakhimov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +34.7|Blue -34.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +86.0|Blue -86.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Derrick LewisTargetShamil Abdurakhimov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Shamil Abdurakhimov rounds
Round 1Shamil Abdurakhimov edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:23
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:37Control
Round 2Shamil Abdurakhimov edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:00Control
Round 3Shamil Abdurakhimov edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:09
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:18Control
Round 4Derrick Lewis edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control1:10
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:35Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
