Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edgar Chairez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Daniel Lacerda enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Edgar Chairez threatens submissions; Daniel Lacerda has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Edgar Chairez has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Edgar Chairez has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Lacerda (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edgar ChairezW3 streak
oldest →L
vs Tatsuro Taira · Jul 23W
SUBvs CJ Vergara · Mar 25W
vs Felipe Bunes · Feb 26W
SUBvs Bruno Silva · Jun 26 Daniel LacerdaL4 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Jeff Molina · Oct 21L
SUBvs Francisco Figueiredo · Apr 22L
KOvs Victor Altamirano · Aug 22L
KOvs CJ Vergara · Mar 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edgar ChairezMetricDaniel Lacerda
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.10Δ 3.23 — meaningful gap-4.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Edgar ChairezDaniel Lacerda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edgar Chairez(6 fights)Daniel Lacerda(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +59.1|Blue -59.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -105.0|Blue +105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Edgar ChairezTargetDaniel Lacerda
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:41Control
