Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yoel Romero enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Lyoto MachidaW2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs CB Dollaway · Dec 14L
SUBvs Luke Rockhold · Apr 15L
KOvs Derek Brunson · Oct 17W
KOvs Vitor Belfort · May 18 Yoel RomeroL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 17W
KOvs Luke Rockhold · Feb 18L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jun 18L
vs Israel Adesanya · Mar 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Lyoto MachidaMetricYoel Romero
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.02evenly matched on net striking+0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Lyoto MachidaYoel Romero
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Lyoto Machida(10 fights)Yoel Romero(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +109.5|Blue -109.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -203.0|Blue +203.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Lyoto MachidaTargetYoel Romero
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Yoel Romero edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Yoel Romero edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:05Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
