Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lone'er Kavanagh has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brandon Moreno
oldest →L
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Jul 23L
vs Brandon Royval · Feb 24L
KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 25 Lone'er KavanaghL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Felipe dos Santos · Mar 25L
KOvs Charles Johnson · Aug 25L
SUBvs Brandon Royval · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brandon MorenoMetricLone'er Kavanagh
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.20evenly matched on net striking+0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brandon MorenoLone'er Kavanagh
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brandon Moreno(10 fights)Lone'er Kavanagh(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -13.1|Blue +13.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -105.0|Blue +105.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brandon MorenoTargetLone'er Kavanagh
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Lone'er Kavanagh edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
42Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control1:21
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Brandon Moreno edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control3:08
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Brandon Moreno edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control2:51
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
