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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Marc Diakiese won · U-DEC R3

Elo1500

Elo1478

Marc DiakiesevsLando VannataUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · Saturday, September 28, 2019Copenhagen, Denmark

Official fight result

Marc Diakiese won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupMarc Diakiese: WrestlervsLando Vannata: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Lando Vannata wins(58.1%)

Actual result: Marc Diakiese wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Lando Vannata at +145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Lando Vannata enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Marc Diakiese

Red Corner

Lando Vannata

Blue Corner

-165

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+145

(41%)

1500

Elo

1478

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

185.42 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Marc Diakiese

oldest →

vs Viacheslav Borshchev · Mar 22

vs Damir Hadzovic · Jul 22

vs Michael Johnson · Dec 22

SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Jul 23

vs Kaue Fernandes · Nov 23

latest

Lando VannataL3 streak

oldest →

vs Bobby Green · Aug 20

vs Mike Grundy · May 21

SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Apr 22

vs Daniel Zellhuber · Apr 23

KOvs Darrius Flowers · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Marc DiakieseMetricLando Vannata

2.54

Strikes / min

4.52

2.64

Strikes absorbed / min

4.71

52%

Strike defense

54%

3.29

TDs / 15 min

1.24

66%

Takedown defense

66%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.10evenly matched on net striking-0.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Marc DiakieseLando Vannata

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Marc Diakiese(10 fights)Lando Vannata(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +22.1|Blue -22.1

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Marc DiakieseTargetLando Vannata

By target zone

31% acc · 40%

Head

11% acc · 16%

40% acc · 25%

Body

67% acc · 32%

64% acc · 35%

Leg

59% acc · 52%

By position

37% acc · 78%

Distance

36% acc · 96%

67% acc · 5%

Clinch

25% acc · 4%

58% acc · 18%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Marc Diakiese rounds

even

Lando Vannata rounds

Round 1Marc Diakiese edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:49

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Marc Diakiese edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:46

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 3Marc Diakiese edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns4

Control3:32

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

40 / 99

Sig Strikes

25 / 70

41%

Sig Str %

37.7%

45 / 111

Total Strikes

51 / 108

4 / 7

TDs

0 / 1

40%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

5:07

Ctrl Time

0:06

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Lando Vannata	10 / 21	12 / 24	0 / 0
1	Marc Diakiese	16 / 38	16 / 39	0 / 0
2	Lando Vannata	8 / 32	9 / 33	0 / 1
2	Marc Diakiese	13 / 38	13 / 38	0 / 2
3	Lando Vannata	7 / 17	30 / 51	0 / 0
3	Marc Diakiese	11 / 23	16 / 34	4 / 5

Marc Diakiese

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights14

Lando Vannata

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights12