Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Viktor Pesta has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Viktor Pesta has 63pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Aleksei Oleinik
oldest →L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Aug 20L
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Feb 21L
vs Serghei Spivac · Jun 21W
SUBvs Jared Vanderaa · Apr 22 Viktor PestaL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Ruslan Magomedov · May 14W
vs Konstantin Erokhin · Jan 15L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Oct 15L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Aug 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Aleksei OleinikMetricViktor Pesta
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Aleksei OleinikViktor Pesta
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Aleksei Oleinik(10 fights)Viktor Pesta(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +136.2|Blue -136.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +24.0|Blue -24.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Aleksei OleinikTargetViktor Pesta
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Viktor Pesta edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:34
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:44Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
