Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Pereira has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alex Pereira
oldest →W
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Apr 24W
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Jun 24W
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Oct 24L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 25W
KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Oct 25 Ciryl Gane
oldest →W
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Sep 22L
SUBvs Jon Jones · Mar 23W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Sep 23W
vs Alexander Volkov · Dec 24L
vs Tom Aspinall · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alex PereiraMetricCiryl Gane
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.66Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap+2.96
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alex Pereira(10 fights)Ciryl Gane(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -7.9|Blue +7.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alex PereiraTargetCiryl Gane
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Ciryl Gane edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Ciryl Gane edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
31Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
