Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tyson Nam is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Matt Schnell has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Tyson Nam has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Tyson Nam has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Matt SchnellL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Steve Erceg · Mar 24L
SUBvs Cody Durden · Sep 24L
SUBvs Joseph Morales · Nov 25L
KOvs Alessandro Costa · Jun 26 Tyson NamL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Zarrukh Adashev · Jun 20W
KOvs Jerome Rivera · Sep 20W
KOvs Ode Osbourne · Aug 22L
SUBvs Bruno Silva · Mar 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Matt SchnellMetricTyson Nam
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.04Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap-1.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Matt SchnellTyson Nam
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Matt Schnell(10 fights)Tyson Nam(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.9|Blue +3.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +273.0|Blue -273.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Matt SchnellTargetTyson Nam
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Matt Schnell edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Matt Schnell edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Matt Schnell edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
