Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Katsunori Kikuno
oldest →W
vs Quinn Mulhern · Jan 14L
KOvs Tony Ferguson · May 14W
SUBvs Sam Sicilia · Sep 14L
KOvs Kevin Souza · Mar 15 latest Diego Brandao
oldest →W
vs Daniel Pineda · Aug 13L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Dec 13L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 14W
KOvs Jimy Hettes · Apr 15L
SUBvs Brian Ortega · Jan 16 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Katsunori KikunoMetricDiego Brandao
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.17evenly matched on net striking-0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Katsunori KikunoDiego Brandao
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Katsunori Kikuno(5 fights)Diego Brandao(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -135.1|Blue +135.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Katsunori KikunoTargetDiego Brandao
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Diego Brandao edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns0
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.