Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Leben enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Yoshihiro Akiyama has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Chris Leben (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chris LebenL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Wanderlei Silva · Jul 11L
KOvs Mark Munoz · Nov 11L
vs Derek Brunson · Dec 12L
vs Andrew Craig · Jul 13L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Dec 13 latest Yoshihiro Akiyama
oldest →L
vs Michael Bisping · Oct 10L
KOvs Vitor Belfort · Aug 11L
vs Jake Shields · Feb 12W
vs Amir Sadollah · Sep 14L
vs Alberto Mina · Nov 15 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chris LebenMetricYoshihiro Akiyama
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)0.00evenly matched on net striking-0.52
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chris LebenYoshihiro Akiyama
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chris Leben(8 fights)Yoshihiro Akiyama(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -137.7|Blue +137.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.2|Blue +48.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chris LebenTargetYoshihiro Akiyama
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Yoshihiro Akiyama rounds
Round 1Yoshihiro Akiyama edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:54Control
Round 2Yoshihiro Akiyama edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:23
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:57Control
Round 3Yoshihiro Akiyama edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:42Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.