Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Adam Wieczorek threatens submissions; Marcos Rogerio de Lima has lost 71% of fights by sub.
- Adam Wieczorek has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Adam WieczorekW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Anthony Hamilton · Nov 17W
SUBvs Arjan Bhullar · Apr 18 Marcos Rogerio de Lima
oldest →L
vs Blagoy Ivanov · May 22W
SUBvs Andrei Arlovski · Oct 22W
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Apr 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jul 23W
KOvs Junior Tafa · Feb 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Adam WieczorekMetricMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.19evenly matched on net striking+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Adam WieczorekMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Adam Wieczorek(3 fights)Marcos Rogerio de Lima(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -14.8|Blue +14.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -357.0|Blue +357.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Adam WieczorekTargetMarcos Rogerio de Lima
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Marcos Rogerio de Lima rounds
Round 1Marcos Rogerio de Lima edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns1
Control1:01
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:16Control
Round 2Marcos Rogerio de Lima edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control1:13
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:14Control
Round 3Marcos Rogerio de Lima edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:49Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
