Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Eric Spicely enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Thiago Santos is a KO finisher (79% of wins). Eric Spicely has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Eric Spicely threatens submissions; Thiago Santos has lost 30% of fights by sub.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22 Eric SpicelyL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Sam Alvey · Jul 16W
SUBvs Alessio Di Chirico · Jan 17L
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Dec 17L
KOvs Darren Stewart · May 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Thiago SantosMetricEric Spicely
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.15Δ 3.16 — meaningful gap-2.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Thiago SantosEric Spicely
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Thiago Santos(10 fights)Eric Spicely(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +58.5|Blue -58.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +4.0|Blue -4.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Thiago SantosTargetEric Spicely
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Eric Spicely edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control1:05
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:23Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
