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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Kevin Vallejos won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1477

Elo1575

Giga ChikadzevsKevin VallejosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · Saturday, December 13, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Kevin Vallejos won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:29

Style matchupGiga Chikadze: StrikervsKevin Vallejos: Pressure fighter

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Kevin Vallejos wins(83.6%)

Actual result: Kevin Vallejos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kevin Vallejos at -375 American odds

+$27 profit

$127 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kevin Vallejos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Kevin Vallejos has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Kevin Vallejos (52.9%).
Giga Chikadze has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Giga Chikadze

Red Corner

Kevin Vallejos

Blue Corner

+300

(25%)

Vegas Odds

-375

(79%)

1477

Elo

1575

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'0"

Height

5'7"

187.96 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Giga ChikadzeL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Edson Barboza · Aug 21

vs Calvin Kattar · Jan 22

vs Alex Caceres · Aug 23

vs Arnold Allen · Jul 24

vs David Onama · Apr 25

latest

Kevin VallejosW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs SeungWoo Choi · Mar 25

vs Danny Silva · Aug 25

KOvs Josh Emmett · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Giga ChikadzeMetricKevin Vallejos

3.75

Strikes / min

6.12

3.47

Strikes absorbed / min

4.41

59%

Strike defense

57%

0.18

TDs / 15 min

0.66

65%

Takedown defense

84%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.28Δ 1.43 — meaningful gap+1.71

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Giga ChikadzeKevin Vallejos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Giga Chikadze(10 fights)Kevin Vallejos(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -98.3|Blue +98.3

Recent Form

Red -1.7|Blue +1.7

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +98.0|Blue -98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Giga ChikadzeTargetKevin Vallejos

By target zone

20% acc · 17%

Head

58% acc · 70%

100% acc · 83%

Body

67% acc · 10%

0% acc

Leg

80% acc · 20%

By position

55% acc · 100%

Distance

58% acc · 75%

Clinch

50% acc · 5%

Ground

100% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Giga Chikadze rounds

even

Kevin Vallejos rounds

Round 1Kevin Vallejos edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:27Control

Round 2Kevin Vallejos edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

12 / 22

Sig Strikes

20 / 32

56%

Sig Str %

64%

19 / 29

Total Strikes

23 / 35

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:28

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Kevin Vallejos	9 / 18	12 / 21	0 / 1
1	Giga Chikadze	9 / 17	16 / 24	0 / 0
2	Kevin Vallejos	11 / 14	11 / 14	0 / 0
2	Giga Chikadze	3 / 5	3 / 5	0 / 0

Giga Chikadze

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights12

Kevin Vallejos

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4