Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Yadier del Valle threatens submissions; Isaac Dulgarian has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Yadier del Valle has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Yadier del Valle has 58pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Yadier del Valle (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Isaac Dulgarian
oldest →W
KOvs Francis Marshall · Aug 23L
vs Christian Rodriguez · Mar 24W
SUBvs Brendon Marotte · Sep 24 Yadier del Valle
oldest →W
SUBvs Connor Matthews · May 25L
vs Jordan Leavitt · Feb 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Isaac DulgarianMetricYadier del Valle
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.34evenly matched on net striking+1.89
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Isaac DulgarianYadier del Valle
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Isaac Dulgarian(4 fights)Yadier del Valle(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -22.6|Blue +22.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +252.0|Blue -252.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Isaac DulgarianTargetYadier del Valle
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Yadier del Valle edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:16
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:56Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
