Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Edson Barboza has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edson BarbozaL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Bryce Mitchell · Mar 22W
KOvs Billy Quarantillo · Apr 23W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · Oct 23L
vs Drakkar Klose · Aug 25L
KOvs Jalin Turner · Dec 25 Lerone Murphy
oldest →W
vs Josh Culibao · Jul 23W
KOvs Aaron Pico · Aug 25L
vs Movsar Evloev · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edson BarbozaMetricLerone Murphy
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.54Δ 2.23 — meaningful gap+1.69
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Edson BarbozaLerone Murphy
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edson Barboza(10 fights)Lerone Murphy(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -54.1|Blue +54.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -84.0|Blue +84.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Edson BarbozaTargetLerone Murphy
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Lerone Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns0
Control0:00
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 2Lerone Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
41Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:26Control
Round 3Lerone Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:17
48Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:25Control
Round 4Lerone Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
59Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:25Control
Round 5Lerone Murphy edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
38Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
1:49Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
