Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Santiago Ponzinibbio is a KO finisher (58% of wins). Sam Patterson has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Sam Patterson is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Santiago Ponzinibbio has lost 56% of fights by KO.
- Santiago Ponzinibbio has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Santiago Ponzinibbio has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Sam Patterson has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Santiago Ponzinibbio
oldest →W
KOvs Alex Morono · Dec 22L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Apr 23L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jul 24W
KOvs Carlston Harris · Jan 25L
KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · May 25 Sam Patterson
oldest →W
SUBvs Yohan Lainesse · Jan 24W
SUBvs Kiefer Crosbie · Jul 24W
KOvs Danny Barlow · Mar 25W
KOvs Trey Waters · Sep 25L
vs Michael Page · Mar 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Santiago PonzinibbioMetricSam Patterson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.10evenly matched on net striking-0.44
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Santiago Ponzinibbio(10 fights)Sam Patterson(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -74.6|Blue +74.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +322.0|Blue -322.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Santiago PonzinibbioTargetSam Patterson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Santiago Ponzinibbio rounds
Round 1Sam Patterson edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
29Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Sam Patterson edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
35Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control
2Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
