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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Tainara Lisboa won · U-DEC R3
Elo1477
Elo1447

Tainara LisboavsRavena OliveiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Saturday, October 14, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Tainara Lisboa won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Tainara Lisboa wins(64.1%)

Actual result: Tainara Lisboa wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Tainara Lisboa threatens submissions; Ravena Oliveira has lost 33% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Tainara Lisboa
Red Corner
VS
Ravena Oliveira
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1477
Elo
1447
35
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'5"
170.18 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tainara LisboaL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Jessica-Rose Clark · May 23
L
SUBvs Luana Santos · May 25
L
KOvs Melissa Croden · Oct 25
latest
Ravena OliveiraL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Stephanie Luciano · Oct 25
L
KOvs Shanelle Dyer · Mar 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tainara LisboaMetricRavena Oliveira
2.01
Strikes / min
1.91
2.88
Strikes absorbed / min
3.72
45%
Strike defense
46%
1.67
TDs / 15 min
0.88
53%
Takedown defense
46%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.87evenly matched on net striking-1.81

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1500Strikes2.0 vs 1.0Takedowns2.0 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 0.0
Tainara LisboaRavena Oliveira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14301453147514981520← oldermost recent →
Tainara Lisboa(4 fights)Ravena Oliveira(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +30.0|Blue -30.0
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tainara LisboaTargetRavena Oliveira

By target zone

9
38% acc · 50%
Head
10
43% acc · 67%
8
89% acc · 44%
Body
3
50% acc · 20%
1
50% acc · 6%
Leg
2
100% acc · 13%

By position

7
35% acc · 39%
Distance
13
46% acc · 87%
11
92% acc · 61%
Clinch
2
67% acc · 13%
0
0% acc
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Tainara Lisboa rounds
0
even
1
Ravena Oliveira rounds
Round 1Tainara Lisboa edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control1:19
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:15Control
Round 2Tainara Lisboa edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control4:47
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Ravena Oliveira edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control0:49
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
18 / 35
Sig Strikes
15 / 31
48%
Sig Str %
31.3%
77 / 106
Total Strikes
61 / 87
3 / 8
TDs
2 / 3
52.7%
TD %
75%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
6:55
Ctrl Time
5:22

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Ravena Oliveira4 / 1219 / 341 / 20
1Tainara Lisboa8 / 1328 / 391 / 30
2Ravena Oliveira0 / 18 / 90 / 00
2Tainara Lisboa2 / 634 / 431 / 10
3Ravena Oliveira11 / 1834 / 441 / 10
3Tainara Lisboa8 / 1615 / 241 / 40

Tainara Lisboa

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4

Ravena Oliveira

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights3