Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Junior Tafa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Junior Tafa is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Parker Porter has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Junior TafaL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Aug 24W
KOvs Sean Sharaf · Oct 24L
SUBvs Tuco Tokkos · Jul 25L
SUBvs Billy Elekana · Jan 26L
KOvs Iwo Baraniewski · Jun 26 latest Parker Porter
oldest →W
vs Chase Sherman · Aug 21L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 22L
KOvs Justin Tafa · Feb 23W
KOvs Braxton Smith · May 23 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Junior TafaMetricParker Porter
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.96evenly matched on net striking+0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Junior TafaParker Porter
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Junior Tafa(8 fights)Parker Porter(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -49.3|Blue +49.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Junior TafaTargetParker Porter
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Junior Tafa edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.