Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Liz Carmouche has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Miesha Tate
oldest →W
KOvs Marion Reneau · Jul 21L
vs Ketlen Vieira · Nov 21L
vs Lauren Murphy · Jul 22W
SUBvs Julia Avila · Dec 23 Liz Carmouche
oldest →W
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Nov 16L
vs Alexis Davis · Dec 17W
vs Jennifer Maia · Jul 18W
vs Lucie Pudilova · Feb 19L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Aug 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Miesha TateMetricLiz Carmouche
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.43evenly matched on net striking+0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Miesha TateLiz Carmouche
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Miesha Tate(10 fights)Liz Carmouche(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +3.4|Blue -3.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -52.0|Blue +52.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Miesha TateTargetLiz Carmouche
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Liz Carmouche edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:15
8Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
3:28Control
Round 2Liz Carmouche edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:56
4Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:01Control
Round 3Miesha Tate edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control4:40
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
